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Red96
66321.1
169938.2
314632.9
Blue134
17666.0
237032.0
318218.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811940608010014016096134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.4
34.434.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End5.4
blue by 27.8
176
#1
66.01.4
61.963.3
Auto17.6
Teleop38.5
End9.8
Second
3146
#19
32.90.4
30.530.9
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
red by 0.9
32.01.4
29.831.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End4.8
Third
663
#7
21.10.3
21.121.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End4.7
red by 2.3
3182
#31
18.81.8
15.617.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned