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Red113
173531.7
365432.4
17531.4
Blue94
860421.5
17828.4
662020.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9857020408012014016011394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#13
32.41.7
29.231.0
Auto12.4
Teleop11.7
End8.3
red by 3.9
178
#11
28.42.9
24.427.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Second
1735
#10
31.72.1
28.030.1
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End4.7
red by 10.2
8604
#30
21.52.4
16.919.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End7.2
Third
175
#6
31.41.7
29.631.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End8.8
red by 10.5
6620
#28
20.92.4
17.319.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed