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Red75
173531.7
712714.5
689521.3
Blue78
17531.4
18116.1
860421.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68706065758085907578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#10
31.70.8
30.130.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End4.7
red by 0.2
175
#6
31.40.5
31.431.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End8.8
Second
6895
#29
21.30.8
20.521.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5
blue by 0.2
8604
#30
21.50.5
19.319.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End7.2
Third
7127
#34
14.50.8
13.714.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End3.2
blue by 1.7
181
#25
16.10.5
14.915.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned