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Red40
49875.8
790713.6
767428.3
Blue81
46734.4
672316.3
25238.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555830405070804081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#15
28.31.2
29.828.5
Auto6.6
Teleop15.1
End6.6
blue by 6.1
467
#16
34.40.8
30.931.7
Auto7.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
7907
#33
13.61.2
14.913.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End3.8
blue by 2.7
6723
#27
16.30.9
15.416.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End6.4
Third
4987
#35
5.81.2
7.15.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
blue by 2.5
2523
#36
8.40.9
7.58.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsEarned