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Red114
22817.3
169938.2
46734.4
Blue102
237032.0
17531.4
870919.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918620406080100120140160114102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.5
36.437.0
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 6.2
32.00.5
31.632.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End4.8
Second
467
#16
34.40.5
32.733.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
red by 3.0
175
#6
31.40.5
31.031.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End8.8
Third
228
#22
17.30.5
15.516.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End8.0
blue by 2.2
8709
#20
19.50.5
19.119.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End5.1