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Red126
17751.5
174044.6
57119.2
Blue121
46734.4
169938.2
22817.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12888406080100120140160180126121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
51.50.1
51.551.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End9.0
red by 13.3
38.20.7
37.538.2
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Second
44.60.1
44.644.7
Auto14.3
Teleop23.0
End7.3
red by 10.2
467
#16
34.40.7
33.734.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Third
571
#26
19.20.1
19.119.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End6.4
red by 1.9
228
#22
17.30.7
16.617.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End8.0