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Red131
22817.3
169938.2
46734.4
Blue93
314632.9
511227.6
715326.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8789608010012014013193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.6
35.536.2
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 5.3
3146
#19
32.90.0
31.931.9
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End6.7
Second
467
#16
34.40.6
31.732.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
red by 6.8
27.60.0
26.626.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End9.1
Third
228
#22
17.30.6
14.615.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End8.0
blue by 8.7
7153
#14
26.00.0
25.025.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End6.2