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Red122
490541.2
34819.2
320545.5
Blue134
175754.4
676326.9
237043.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913650100150200122134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.1
45.345.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.8
End8.7
blue by 8.9
54.40.1
54.354.4
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
Second
4905
#12
41.20.1
41.041.2
Auto12.5
Teleop21.5
End7.2
blue by 1.9
43.10.1
42.943.1
Auto12.4
Teleop22.7
End7.9
Third
348
#19
19.20.1
19.119.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End6.6
blue by 7.7
6763
#22
26.90.1
26.826.9
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1