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Red118
173537.1
779518.9
176860.1
Blue102
15729.8
910138.1
404837.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088820406080100120140160180118102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.3
49.751.0
Auto15.1
Teleop35.6
End9.2
red by 22.0
38.11.1
26.527.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End8.8
Second
1735
#15
37.11.3
32.133.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
blue by 0.8
4048
#16
37.81.1
34.635.7
Auto11.2
Teleop16.6
End10.0
Third
7795
#39
18.92.2
16.819.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
blue by 10.9
157
#20
29.81.1
24.025.2
Auto12.0
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned