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Red104
632852.8
83916.3
127728.0
Blue70
549114.6
490541.2
712723.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9467020408012014016010470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.3
47.948.2
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End8.2
red by 11.7
4905
#12
41.20.5
35.535.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.5
End7.2
Second
1277
#11
28.00.3
18.018.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End6.1
red by 4.8
7127
#31
23.20.5
18.618.0
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Third
839
#32
16.30.3
19.019.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End2.8
red by 1.8
5491
#28
14.60.7
12.211.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed