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Red86
16645.6
395818.3
242327.5
Blue61
712723.2
498713.1
19025.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100420501508661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
45.60.3
41.841.5
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
red by 20.3
190
#36
25.30.6
23.724.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Second
2423
#21
27.50.3
27.827.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
red by 4.3
7127
#31
23.20.6
18.018.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Third
3958
#23
18.30.3
16.716.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End4.9
red by 5.1
4987
#33
13.10.6
4.75.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned13%Activation oddsMissed