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Red72
632435.6
207921.7
633322.6
Blue121
237043.1
16645.6
549114.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79975015072121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#10
35.60.3
31.731.4
Auto9.6
Teleop20.3
End5.7
blue by 10.0
166
#6
45.62.2
41.543.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
Second
6333
#13
22.60.3
25.024.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.4
blue by 20.5
43.12.2
35.437.6
Auto12.4
Teleop22.7
End7.9
Third
2079
#24
21.70.3
19.619.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End7.0
red by 7.2
5491
#28
14.62.2
11.713.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned