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Red134
490541.2
173537.1
320545.5
Blue51
404837.8
549114.6
498713.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12352010015013451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.5
34.335.9
Auto10.0
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 7.6
4048
#16
37.80.5
37.336.9
Auto11.2
Teleop16.6
End10.0
Second
4905
#12
41.21.5
35.036.5
Auto12.5
Teleop21.5
End7.2
red by 26.6
5491
#28
14.60.5
11.811.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Third
1735
#15
37.11.5
37.038.5
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 23.9
4987
#33
13.10.5
8.68.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned