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Red127
110040.5
362318.1
175754.4
Blue111
854433.6
176860.1
549114.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11194406080120140160180127111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.41.3
50.351.6
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
blue by 5.8
60.11.4
54.555.9
Auto15.1
Teleop35.6
End9.2
Second
40.51.3
36.537.8
Auto11.9
Teleop23.5
End5.1
red by 6.9
8544
#25
33.61.4
24.325.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End7.1
Third
3623
#18
18.11.3
15.116.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End3.9
red by 3.5
5491
#28
14.61.4
11.412.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned