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Red66
17323.0
549114.6
15729.8
Blue114
910138.1
498713.1
175754.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5789020408010012014016066114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#20
29.80.6
25.626.1
Auto12.0
Teleop12.4
End5.4
blue by 24.6
54.42.3
46.949.3
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
Second
173
#27
23.00.6
20.721.3
Auto9.2
Teleop7.0
End6.7
blue by 15.1
38.12.3
27.129.4
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End8.8
Third
5491
#28
14.60.6
11.111.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
red by 1.4
4987
#33
13.12.3
5.37.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned