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Red108
790714.2
16645.6
854433.6
Blue138
320545.5
176860.1
403416.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311950100150200108138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
45.61.7
44.245.9
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End10.4
blue by 14.5
60.12.0
55.957.9
Auto15.1
Teleop35.6
End9.2
Second
8544
#25
33.61.7
25.727.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End7.1
blue by 11.9
45.52.0
37.439.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.8
End8.7
Third
7907
#29
14.21.7
12.914.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.8
blue by 2.2
4034
#35
16.42.0
14.116.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned