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Red105
207921.7
498713.1
490541.2
Blue113
83916.3
175754.4
632435.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64116204080100140160180105113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#12
41.21.9
37.339.2
Auto12.5
Teleop21.5
End7.2
blue by 13.2
54.40.7
51.652.3
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
Second
2079
#24
21.71.9
19.821.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End7.0
blue by 13.9
6324
#10
35.60.7
33.233.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.3
End5.7
Third
4987
#33
13.11.9
9.811.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.2
blue by 3.2
839
#32
16.30.7
17.518.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned