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Red80
395818.3
175754.4
549114.6
Blue149
242327.5
632852.8
110040.5
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86124406010014016018080149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.7
52.351.6
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 1.6
52.82.2
48.050.2
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Second
3958
#23
18.30.7
19.418.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End4.9
blue by 22.2
40.52.2
36.738.9
Auto11.9
Teleop23.5
End5.1
Third
5491
#28
14.60.7
13.512.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 13.0
2423
#21
27.52.2
26.528.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned