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Red59
12630.8
542220.6
790714.2
Blue94
490541.2
127728.0
779518.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6892204060801001201401605994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#26
30.80.5
30.029.5
Auto9.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
blue by 10.4
4905
#12
41.20.7
39.239.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.5
End7.2
Second
5422
#40
20.60.5
21.420.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End6.3
blue by 7.4
1277
#11
28.00.7
25.426.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End6.1
Third
7907
#29
14.20.5
15.515.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.8
blue by 4.7
7795
#39
18.90.9
18.519.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned