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Red80
175754.4
207921.7
779518.9
Blue123
715337.9
632852.8
395818.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819305015020080123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.2
44.544.7
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 1.6
52.82.1
45.847.9
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Second
2079
#24
21.70.2
16.616.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End7.0
blue by 16.2
7153
#14
37.92.1
25.327.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.9
Third
7795
#39
18.90.3
16.616.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
red by 0.7
3958
#23
18.32.1
15.017.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned