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Red143
237043.1
676326.9
175754.4
Blue128
854433.6
910138.1
856735.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011050100150200143128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.4
52.853.2
Auto12.4
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 16.3
38.10.5
37.638.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End8.8
Second
43.10.4
41.541.9
Auto12.4
Teleop22.7
End7.9
red by 7.8
8567
#17
35.30.5
34.835.3
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End5.9
Third
6763
#22
26.90.4
25.425.8
Auto9.2
Teleop12.7
End5.1
blue by 6.7
8544
#25
33.60.5
33.133.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End7.1