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Red48
554912.7
189523.0
290016.9
Blue107
173152.7
88825.9
463816.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43860206010012014016048107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.4
23.923.6
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End8.7
blue by 29.6
52.70.6
38.439.0
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
2900
#14
16.90.4
15.415.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.1
End7.0
blue by 9.1
888
#4
25.91.0
21.722.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.5
End8.4
Third
5549
#26
12.70.4
6.96.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.0
blue by 3.3
4638
#30
16.01.0
15.416.5
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed