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Red75
832621.2
409932.2
190830.2
Blue53
253721.7
788612.3
219942.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67530204060801001207553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.6
22.223.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.7
End9.2
blue by 10.4
42.60.1
31.131.3
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
Second
30.21.6
26.728.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End9.1
red by 8.5
2537
#22
21.70.1
16.816.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Third
8326
#20
21.21.6
12.013.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End5.1
red by 9.0
7886
#18
12.30.1
3.84.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed