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Red46
253721.7
463816.0
29618.9
Blue90
482114.7
219942.6
86229.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4264020801001204690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#22
21.70.7
16.916.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 20.9
42.62.5
31.333.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
Second
4638
#30
16.00.7
16.615.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
red by 1.2
4821
#24
14.72.5
13.415.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End4.8
Third
2961
#36
8.90.7
8.67.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End2.4
blue by 0.5
8622
#31
9.42.5
12.415.0
Auto1.3
Teleop4.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned