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Red79
138922.7
237716.1
83637.8
Blue119
173152.7
832621.2
788612.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87732040608010012014079119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#6
37.80.5
35.635.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End9.8
blue by 14.9
52.72.2
46.048.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
1389
#12
22.70.5
22.722.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End5.8
red by 1.5
8326
#20
21.23.0
17.920.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Third
2377
#32
16.10.5
21.120.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.4
End5.5
red by 3.8
7886
#18
12.33.0
6.79.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsEarned