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Red80
632626.5
190830.2
788612.3
Blue7
86229.4
558716.4
61420.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65610204080100120807

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.6
28.129.7
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End9.1
red by 9.7
614
#15
20.54.2
24.320.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Second
6326
#19
26.51.6
22.424.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
red by 10.1
5587
#23
16.44.2
20.015.8
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End7.6
Third
7886
#18
12.31.6
9.711.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End5.5
red by 2.9
8622
#31
9.44.2
13.79.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed