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Red85
851412.4
62019.4
219942.6
Blue89
583017.2
44929.7
138922.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069204060801008589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.6
38.440.0
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
red by 12.9
449
#16
29.70.7
27.728.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Second
620
#25
19.41.6
16.418.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End10.3
blue by 3.3
1389
#12
22.70.7
22.323.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End5.8
Third
8514
#34
12.41.6
10.612.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End2.8
blue by 4.8
5830
#28
17.20.7
14.815.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed