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Red127
173152.7
554912.7
219942.6
Blue78
788612.3
62019.4
686327.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11749010015020012778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.7
50.251.9
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 25.4
6863
#17
27.31.1
25.126.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End8.2
Second
42.61.9
40.041.9
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
red by 23.2
620
#25
19.41.0
18.019.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End10.3
Third
5549
#26
12.71.9
10.812.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.0
red by 0.4
7886
#18
12.31.0
11.312.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned