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Red92
112341.0
554912.7
190830.2
Blue105
445630.7
44929.7
686327.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899105015020025030092105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.2
41.141.2
Auto14.6
Teleop18.8
End7.7
red by 10.3
30.70.3
29.830.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Second
30.20.2
30.330.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End9.1
red by 0.5
449
#16
29.70.3
28.729.1
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
5549
#26
12.70.2
12.712.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.0
blue by 14.6
6863
#17
27.30.4
26.326.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End8.2