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Red65
62019.4
291421.5
144615.2
Blue79
112341.0
554912.7
190830.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539601506579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#10
21.50.2
21.321.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.2
End5.7
blue by 19.5
41.00.1
41.241.1
Auto14.6
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Second
620
#25
19.40.2
19.219.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End10.3
blue by 10.8
30.20.1
30.430.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End9.1
Third
1446
#11
15.20.2
14.915.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End5.6
red by 2.5
5549
#26
12.70.1
12.912.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.0