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Red103
219942.6
83637.8
253721.7
Blue75
445630.7
44929.7
686327.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1118940608010012014016018010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.0
42.242.3
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End9.6
red by 11.9
30.70.2
30.129.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Second
836
#6
37.80.0
37.437.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 8.1
449
#16
29.70.2
29.128.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
2537
#22
21.70.1
21.321.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 5.6
6863
#17
27.30.3
26.626.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End8.2