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Red79
162942.4
409933.8
374816.1
Blue117
859243.4
907218.1
68640.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061048085909510011011579117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.7
43.441.7
Auto11.9
Teleop24.2
End6.1
blue by 1.0
8592
#14
43.41.3
46.647.9
Auto11.8
Teleop25.3
End4.9
Second
4099
#13
33.81.7
37.435.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End7.0
blue by 7.0
686
#9
40.71.3
36.838.0
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.4
Third
3748
#19
16.11.7
19.117.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End4.3
blue by 2.0
18.11.3
14.716.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned