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Red43
44933.3
554914.6
253724.0
Blue44
511525.7
88826.3
405014.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98790501504344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#16
33.33.1
42.038.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End6.4
red by 7.0
888
#17
26.32.1
29.627.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End6.5
Second
2537
#20
24.03.1
26.723.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.6
blue by 1.7
25.72.1
29.327.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Third
5549
#23
14.63.1
20.817.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End3.0
red by 0.5
14.12.1
17.315.1
Auto6.3
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed