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Red40
777015.4
44933.3
859243.4
Blue57
405014.1
62019.9
61429.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1196401001502002503003504057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#14
43.44.4
47.943.5
Auto11.8
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 13.5
614
#10
29.81.0
31.030.0
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End7.5
Second
449
#16
33.34.4
38.934.5
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End6.4
red by 13.4
620
#7
19.91.0
21.020.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End6.0
Third
7770
#24
15.44.4
18.714.3
Auto7.7
Teleop5.5
End2.4
red by 1.2
14.11.0
15.114.1
Auto6.3
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned