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Red80
777015.4
219946.3
907218.1
Blue89
237728.0
583016.1
68640.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85836570758090951008089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.4
End7.3
red by 5.5
686
#9
40.70.2
38.538.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.4
Second
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End5.8
blue by 9.8
2377
#12
28.00.2
25.826.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End7.1
Third
7770
#24
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto7.7
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 0.8
5830
#22
16.10.2
13.914.2
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8