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Red26
554914.6
511525.7
409933.8
Blue122
632635.6
859243.4
61429.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8012205010015020025030026122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#13
33.81.3
35.834.5
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End7.0
blue by 9.6
8592
#14
43.40.1
43.543.6
Auto11.8
Teleop25.3
End4.9
Second
25.71.3
27.826.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 9.9
6326
#18
35.60.1
35.835.9
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End6.5
Third
5549
#23
14.61.3
16.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End3.0
blue by 15.2
614
#10
29.80.1
30.030.1
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End7.5