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Red33
88826.3
457511.3
862211.6
Blue95
409933.8
511525.7
554914.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498602003004003395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#17
26.30.4
26.626.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End6.5
blue by 7.5
4099
#13
33.80.2
34.534.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End7.0
Second
8622
#21
11.60.4
12.011.6
Auto1.2
Teleop6.6
End4.1
blue by 14.1
25.70.2
26.526.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Third
4575
#11
11.30.4
11.711.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.1
End-0.2
blue by 3.3
5549
#23
14.60.2
15.415.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End3.0