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Red84
454133.8
172758.0
623911.6
Blue91
219947.3
284929.3
872621.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98940501502008491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.00.5
54.353.8
Auto13.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
red by 10.7
47.30.5
44.443.8
Auto16.2
Teleop22.2
End8.9
Second
4541
#26
33.80.5
27.226.7
Auto6.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
red by 4.5
2849
#16
29.30.5
24.924.3
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Third
6239
#35
11.60.5
10.29.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End3.4
blue by 9.9
8726
#12
21.60.5
19.619.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned