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Red45
171923.3
218617.3
141826.5
Blue72
237727.1
284929.3
253413.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7456020401001201404572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#18
26.51.5
26.825.3
Auto11.9
Teleop11.7
End2.9
blue by 2.8
2849
#16
29.31.2
23.925.0
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Second
1719
#23
23.31.5
20.919.4
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 3.7
27.11.2
20.221.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.9
End9.1
Third
2186
#34
17.31.5
19.618.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End5.6
red by 4.1
2534
#36
13.11.2
10.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsMissed