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Red42
777022.5
253727.5
83638.9
Blue86
482118.5
88834.3
141826.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9972204060801201401604286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#11
38.93.2
41.838.6
Auto12.7
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 4.7
888
#8
34.31.0
28.729.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.5
End6.4
Second
2537
#24
27.53.2
24.621.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.3
End6.6
red by 1.0
1418
#18
26.51.0
25.326.3
Auto11.9
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Third
7770
#32
22.53.2
23.320.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End4.3
red by 4.0
4821
#25
18.51.0
17.218.2
Auto7.2
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned