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Red124
162940.8
253727.5
686324.9
Blue98
111134.7
819717.6
632632.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867405010015020025012498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.82.7
34.937.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End6.6
red by 6.0
34.71.1
28.029.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Second
2537
#24
27.52.7
21.223.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.3
End6.6
blue by 5.0
6326
#20
32.51.1
29.230.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.2
End6.7
Third
6863
#30
24.92.7
22.925.5
Auto7.4
Teleop11.3
End6.3
red by 7.3
8197
#27
17.61.1
13.915.0
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed