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Red118
291423.4
583019.8
172758.0
Blue114
511535.1
253413.1
219947.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019320406080120140160180118114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.01.6
56.257.8
Auto13.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
red by 10.7
47.31.4
45.446.7
Auto16.2
Teleop22.2
End8.9
Second
2914
#28
23.41.6
20.322.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End6.6
blue by 11.8
5115
#13
35.11.4
31.733.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
Third
5830
#31
19.81.6
17.318.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 6.7
2534
#36
13.11.4
11.112.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned