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Red98
454133.8
61433.3
284929.3
Blue85
379325.3
189525.4
511535.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979160801201409885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#26
33.80.5
31.031.6
Auto6.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
blue by 1.3
5115
#13
35.10.4
33.132.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
Second
614
#2
33.30.5
31.031.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End7.5
red by 8.0
1895
#14
25.40.4
27.326.8
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End6.5
Third
2849
#16
29.30.5
28.228.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
red by 4.0
3793
#29
25.30.4
26.025.6
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned