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Red64
907220.0
554924.9
851411.4
Blue66
777022.5
686324.9
284929.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518602040601001201406466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5549
#15
24.90.8
22.122.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End6.0
blue by 4.4
2849
#16
29.31.0
28.827.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Second
9072
#21
20.00.8
19.019.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End5.4
blue by 4.9
6863
#30
24.91.0
26.225.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.3
End6.3
Third
8514
#33
11.40.8
11.111.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 11.1
7770
#32
22.51.0
21.220.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsMissed