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Red127
88834.3
61433.3
68639.0
Blue41
788615.0
218617.3
872621.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11357010015012741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#10
39.01.9
35.137.0
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End9.8
red by 17.4
8726
#12
21.61.7
24.522.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Second
888
#8
34.31.9
32.534.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.5
End6.4
red by 17.0
2186
#34
17.31.7
20.518.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End5.6
Third
614
#2
33.31.9
31.533.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End7.5
red by 18.3
7886
#22
15.01.7
15.814.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed