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Red132
111134.7
219947.3
171923.3
Blue115
511535.1
237727.1
253727.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11193406080100120140160132115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.32.0
47.049.0
Auto16.2
Teleop22.2
End8.9
red by 12.2
5115
#13
35.10.3
32.732.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End7.9
Second
34.72.0
33.035.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End8.0
red by 7.2
2537
#24
27.50.3
28.028.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.3
End6.6
Third
1719
#23
23.32.0
22.024.0
Auto9.5
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 3.7
27.10.3
28.528.7
Auto9.1
Teleop8.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned