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Red125
804647.9
632968.5
456439.9
Blue105
5687B15.8
632849.6
346762.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17713750100150200250125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.52.6
72.670.0
Auto16.7
Teleop40.3
End8.8
red by 5.5
62.92.0
61.159.1
Auto15.6
Teleop36.4
End8.7
Second
8046
#17
47.92.6
51.448.8
Auto12.6
Teleop25.7
End9.1
blue by 1.7
6328
#11
49.62.0
49.347.3
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
Third
39.92.6
41.238.6
Auto13.0
Teleop20.4
End6.9
red by 24.1
15.83.4
25.322.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsMissed86%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned