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Qual 122023 Summer Heat
Red81
17232.2
490942.8
4564B13.4
Blue87
615335.7
802333.2
568754.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991490502008187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#22
42.81.5
46.0→44.5
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
blue by 11.3
5687
#1
54.13.1
57.2→54.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
Second
172
#24
32.21.5
37.2→35.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
blue by 3.5
6153
#16
35.73.1
41.2→38.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.0
End7.4
Third
4564B
#23
13.42.5
15.0→12.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End-0.1
blue by 19.8
8023
#19
33.23.1
35.4→32.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed81%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned