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Qual 182023 Summer Heat
Red96
58B9.2
6328B25.2
164042.3
Blue139
632968.5
615335.7
271344.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7216105010020025096139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#15
42.30.6
44.3→44.9
Auto13.7
Teleop21.0
End7.4
blue by 26.2
6329
#5
68.50.7
68.7→68.1
Auto16.7
Teleop40.3
End8.8
Second
6328B
#10
25.21.1
20.8→21.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End4.3
blue by 19.0
2713
#4
44.30.7
37.9→37.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Third
58B
#28
9.21.1
13.3→14.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.5
End4.4
blue by 26.5
6153
#16
35.70.7
38.0→37.4
Auto11.4
Teleop17.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed