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Qual 42023 Summer Heat
Red113
632849.6
431126.0
164042.3
Blue110
616121.1
568754.1
264829.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129121406080100140160180200113110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#11
49.60.5
49.8→49.3
Auto18.2
Teleop23.1
End7.4
blue by 4.5
5687
#1
54.10.3
57.9→57.6
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
Second
1640
#15
42.30.5
43.5→43.0
Auto13.7
Teleop21.0
End7.4
red by 12.5
2648
#29
29.80.3
35.1→34.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.2
Third
4311
#18
26.00.5
27.1→26.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End8.8
red by 4.9
6161
#14
21.10.3
21.4→21.1
Auto6.6
Teleop6.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed